Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000095 0.000105 0.000116 0.000128 0.000142 0.000157 0.000174
2026-01-18 0.000080 0.000094 0.000109 0.000128 0.000151 0.000176 0.000208
2026-01-25 0.000069 0.000085 0.000104 0.000128 0.000158 0.000194 0.000241
2026-02-01 0.000061 0.000078 0.000099 0.000128 0.000165 0.000212 0.000277
2026-02-08 0.000053 0.000071 0.000094 0.000126 0.000170 0.000227 0.000309
2026-02-15 0.000048 0.000066 0.000091 0.000126 0.000175 0.000243 0.000343
2026-02-22 0.000044 0.000062 0.000088 0.000126 0.000181 0.000260 0.000381
2026-03-01 0.000040 0.000058 0.000084 0.000124 0.000185 0.000274 0.000414
2026-03-08 0.000037 0.000056 0.000083 0.000126 0.000193 0.000293 0.000459
2026-03-15 0.000034 0.000053 0.000081 0.000126 0.000198 0.000311 0.000501
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000050 0.000078 0.000125 0.000202 0.000325 0.000539
2026-03-29 0.000030 0.000049 0.000078 0.000127 0.000211 0.000348 0.000592
2026-04-05 0.000028 0.000047 0.000076 0.000128 0.000217 0.000367 0.000642
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000044 0.000074 0.000127 0.000222 0.000384 0.000691
2026-04-19 0.000025 0.000042 0.000072 0.000127 0.000225 0.000400 0.000739
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000127 0.000231 0.000419 0.000794
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000039 0.000068 0.000125 0.000233 0.000432 0.000839
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000037 0.000067 0.000124 0.000236 0.000448 0.000891
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000036 0.000065 0.000124 0.000241 0.000468 0.000953
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000063 0.000123 0.000244 0.000482 0.001003
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000033 0.000063 0.000124 0.000251 0.000507 0.001080
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000032 0.000062 0.000125 0.000257 0.000528 0.001150
2026-06-14 0.000016 0.000031 0.000061 0.000124 0.000260 0.000545 0.001211